#CFTC

Hook May 2024. The CFTC greenlit the first true perpetual futures for US...

The CLARITY Act is dead in the water. Not dead, mind you—just politically...

On a quiet Tuesday afternoon, a single on-chain transaction of 150...

The Crypto Clarity Act is dead. Not dead in the legislative sense—yet. Stalle...

A $1,000,000 Bitcoin transfer from Gemini to a Trump-aligned PAC on May 31,...

Hook: The 23-Day Gap That Smells Like Front-Running Let me start with the...

Kalshi's PR head just declared war on the states. The message: no state has...

The U.S. Senate is heading into its August recess with the Clarity Act — the...

31%. That is the Polymarket consensus probability for a US military invasion ...

On August 1, 2026, at 10:00:00.000 UTC, a Truth Social post by Donald Trump...

The logs do not lie, but they also do not tell the full story. Over three...

The prediction market whispered what the hearing buried. Over the past 48...

Prediction market odds for the CLARITY Act’s passage have dropped from 60% to...

In the hierarchy of market inefficiencies, information asymmetry sits atop as...

When the former president's motorcade rolled into the Capitol last Tuesday, t...

In a market designed to predict the unpredictable, the most predictable outco...

When Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer steps up to publicly warn lawmakers against...

A teleprompter operator with advance access to a Trump speech placed bets on...

The CFTC is investigating a White House teleprompter operator. The accusation...

The alpha isn't in the code — it's in the jurisdictional conflict. On March 1...

Look at the order. The CFTC, on Thursday, commanded Kalshi to honor every tra...

I watched fortunes bloom and wither in real-time during the 2021 derivatives...

Listening to the silence between the data points, one finds a peculiar hum. I...

The ledger does not lie, only the interpreters do. Over the past 72 hours, a...

Hook On a quiet Tuesday, a federal agency filed an emergency motion. A...

Most traders see prediction markets as a playground for decentralized...

The Senate is back in session. Crypto lobbyists are watching the calendar wit...

Over the past seven days, the SEC officially acknowledged filings for 24...

Hook On March 28, 2024, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) did...

Tracing the sentiment pivot from 2022 to today — in June of that year, the CF...

Entropy wins. Always check the fees. I spend my days inside ERC-4626 vaults a...